Empoli v Parma
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Ondrejka | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mateo Pellegrino | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sebastiano Esposito | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Liam Henderson | fouls committed | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Drissa Camara | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Milan Đurić | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Drissa Camara | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Hernani | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mateo Pellegrino | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Hernani | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacopo Fazzini | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 4 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 4 | ✓ |
| Drissa Camara | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 50% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 35% | 4 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Parma 1–1 Empoli Oct 2024
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.