Serie A · 22/23

Empoli v Spezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli2 – 2 Spezia 11 Feb 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Eldor Shomurodov	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Daniele Verde	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Francesco Caputo	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Nicolò Cambiaghi	shots total	1+	94%	6	✓
Roberto Piccoli	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Nicolò Cambiaghi	fouls drawn	1+	85%	5	✓
Tommaso Baldanzi	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Kevin Agudelo	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Albin Ekdal	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Răzvan Marin	shots total	1+	79%	4	✓
Filippo Bandinelli	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Salvatore Esposito	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	60%	7 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	49%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	43%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Empoli & Spezia player stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Spezia 1–0 Empoli Aug 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works