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Serie A · 24/25

Empoli v Venezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli2 – 2 Venezia 20 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Sebastiano Esposito shots total 1+ 94% 2
Christian Gytkjær shots total 1+ 94% 1
Lorenzo Colombo shots total 1+ 93% 2
John Yeboah shots total 1+ 89% 2
Liam Henderson fouls committed 1+ 89% 2
Kike Pérez fouls committed 1+ 83% 3
Alessio Zerbin fouls committed 1+ 81% 2
Kike Pérez shots total 1+ 81% 0
Jacopo Fazzini shots total 1+ 81% 2
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia shots total 1+ 81% 3
Alessio Zerbin shots total 1+ 81% 0
Issa Doumbia shots total 1+ 81% 1
Issa Doumbia fouls committed 1+ 80% 0
Alessio Zerbin fouls drawn 1+ 80% 3

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 45% 3 cards
Btts Yes 44% Yes
Match goals O2.5 38% 4 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.