Frosinone v Salernitana
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Frosinone beat Salernitana 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Matías Soulé for 1+ shots total (95%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Walid Cheddira for 1+ shots on target (92%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walid Cheddira | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 5 | ✓ |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matías Soulé | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Walid Cheddira | shots on target | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Luca Mazzitelli | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lassana Coulibaly | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Niccolò Pierozzi | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Walid Cheddira | fouls drawn | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Luca Mazzitelli | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Triantafyllos Pasalidis | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alessandro Zanoli | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Caleb Okoli | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 59% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 55% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 32% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Salernitana 1–1 Frosinone Sep 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Frosinone v Salernitana?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Frosinone v Salernitana?
The most confident call it got wrong was Walid Cheddira at 92% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Serie A?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.