Inter v Sampdoria
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Edin Džeko | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Romelu Lukaku | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lautaro Martínez | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Milan Škriniar | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ignacio Pussetto | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Francesco Caputo | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joaquín Correa | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ignacio Pussetto | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Federico Dimarco | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lautaro Martínez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 4 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 71% | 7 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | No | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sampdoria 0–0 Inter Feb 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.