Serie A · 22/23

Monza v Cremonese

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Monza1 – 1 Cremonese 18 Mar 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Andrea Petagna	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Cyriel Dessers	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Daniel Ciofani	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Gianluca Caprari	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Dany Mota	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Frank Tsadjout	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
David Okereke	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Filippo Ranocchia	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Cyriel Dessers	fouls committed	1+	81%	2	✓
Patrick Ciurria	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Stefano Sensi	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓
Frank Tsadjout	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Gianluca Caprari	fouls drawn	1+	76%	1	✓
Leonardo Sernicola	fouls committed	1+	74%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	56%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	55%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	42%	8 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Monza & Cremonese player stats→ Monza players & stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Cremonese 2–3 Monza Jan 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works