Serie A · 22/23

Monza v Sampdoria

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Monza2 – 2 Sampdoria 6 Feb 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Manolo Gabbiadini	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Gianluca Caprari	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Sam Lammers	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Andrea Petagna	shots total	1+	89%	4	✓
Manolo Gabbiadini	fouls drawn	1+	83%	3	✓
Mehdi Léris	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
José Machín	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Gianluca Caprari	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Tomás Rincón	fouls committed	1+	81%	2	✓
Dany Mota	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Patrick Ciurria	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Carlos Augusto	fouls committed	1+	79%	2	✓
Manolo Gabbiadini	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Dany Mota	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	49%	6 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	46%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	45%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Monza & Sampdoria player stats→ Monza players & stats→ Sampdoria players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Sampdoria 0–3 Monza Oct 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works