Serie A · 25/26

Parma v Pisa

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Parma1 – 0 Pisa 25 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Mateo Pellegrino	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Nesta Elphege	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Stefano Moreo	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Filip Stojilković	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Adrián Bernabé	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Gabriele Piccinini	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Mateo Pellegrino	fouls committed	1+	84%	1	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	fouls drawn	1+	81%	2	✓
Henrik Wendel Meister	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Adrián Bernabé	fouls drawn	1+	78%	4	✓
Mateo Pellegrino	fouls drawn	1+	77%	4	✓
Isak Vural	fouls drawn	1+	76%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	48%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	41%	1 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	26%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Parma & Pisa player stats→ Parma players & stats→ Pisa players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Pisa 0–1 Parma Dec 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works