Pisa v SSC Napoli
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alisson Santos | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kevin De Bruyne | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rasmus Højlund | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Juan Cuadrado | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stefano Moreo | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Filip Stojilković | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Eljif Elmas | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Juan Cuadrado | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Arturo Calabresi | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Scott McTominay | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 5 | ✓ |
| Juan Cuadrado | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 47% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 45% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 24% | 4 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- SSC Napoli 3–2 Pisa Sep 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.