Serie A · 22/23
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Sampdoria v Empoli
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Sampdoria1 – 1
Empoli
15 May 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Destro | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fabio Quagliarella | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Sam Lammers | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marko Pjaca | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Francesco Caputo | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Liam Henderson | fouls committed | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomás Rincón | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Mattia Destro | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alberto Grassi | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 51% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 49% | 7 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 45% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Sampdoria & Empoli player stats→
Sampdoria players & stats→
Empoli players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Empoli 1–0 Sampdoria Jan 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.