Serie A · 22/23

Spezia v Bologna

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Spezia2 – 2 Bologna 4 Sep 2022

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Musa Barrow	shots total	1+	98%	3	✓
Riccardo Orsolini	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Marko Arnautović	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Roberto Soriano	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Nicolás Domínguez	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Simone Bastoni	shots total	1+	79%	3	✓
Jerdy Schouten	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Arkadiusz Reca	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Mehdi Bourabia	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Viktor Kovalenko	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Kevin Agudelo	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Simone Bastoni	fouls committed	1+	77%	1	✓
Musa Barrow	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	45%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	10%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Spezia & Bologna player stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Bologna players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Bologna 2–0 Spezia Jan 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works