Serie A · 22/23
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Bologna v Spezia
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Bologna2 – 0
Spezia
27 Jan 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riccardo Orsolini | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 7 | ✓ |
| Joshua Zirkzee | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniele Verde | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniel Maldini | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicolás Domínguez | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lewis Ferguson | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Nikola Moro | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Roberto Soriano | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Riccardo Orsolini | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kevin Agudelo | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Roberto Soriano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lewis Ferguson | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Daniel Maldini | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 60% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 50% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 47% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Bologna & Spezia player stats→
Bologna players & stats→
Spezia players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Spezia 2–2 Bologna Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.