Serie A · 22/23

Spezia v Lecce

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Spezia0 – 0 Lecce 8 Jan 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Federico Di Francesco	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Youssef Maleh	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	84%	1	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Simone Bastoni	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Kristijan Bistrović	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Lameck Banda	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Joan González	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Simone Bastoni	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Joan González	fouls drawn	1+	77%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	69%	1 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	39%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	31%	0 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Spezia & Lecce player stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Lecce players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Lecce 0–0 Spezia May 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works