Serie A · 22/23
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Spezia v SSC Napoli
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Spezia0 – 3
SSC Napoli
5 Feb 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Osimhen | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Hirving Lozano | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matteo Politano | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Piotr Zieliński | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eljif Elmas | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniele Verde | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Eldor Shomurodov | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Frank Anguissa | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matteo Politano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Hirving Lozano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kevin Agudelo | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 3 | ✓ |
| Mehdi Bourabia | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kelvin Amian | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 59% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 48% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 47% | 5 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Spezia & SSC Napoli player stats→
Spezia players & stats→
SSC Napoli players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- SSC Napoli 1–0 Spezia Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.