Serie A · 22/23

SSC Napoli v Spezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

SSC Napoli1 – 0 Spezia 10 Sep 2022

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matteo Politano	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	shots total	1+	98%	5	✓
Hirving Lozano	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Giovanni Simeone	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Giacomo Raspadori	shots total	1+	94%	6	✓
Piotr Zieliński	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Simone Bastoni	fouls committed	1+	81%	2	✓
Frank Anguissa	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Tanguy Ndombélé	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Eljif Elmas	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	77%	1	✓
Emil Holm	fouls committed	1+	77%	0	✗
Mikael Ellertsson	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗
Viktor Kovalenko	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	56%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	27%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	15%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

SSC Napoli & Spezia player stats→ SSC Napoli players & stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Spezia 0–3 SSC Napoli Feb 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works