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SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27

1. FC Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt

How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

1. FC Union Berlin3 – 3 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 Aug 2026
14/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before 1. FC Union Berlin drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being András Schäfer for 1+ tackles (92%, had 2). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials-12% cards vs the league average
Bastian Dankert refereed this match 3.60cards a gameleague 4.07 58games
Bastian Dankert's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
András Schäfer tackles 1+ 92% 2 ✓
Younes Ebnoutalib shots total 1+ 91% 3 ✓
Jonathan Burkardt shots total 1+ 91% 1 ✓
Can Uzun shots total 1+ 89% 1 ✓
Emmanuel Latte Lath shots total 1+ 88% 2 ✓
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab shots total 1+ 84% 3 ✓
Marin Ljubičić shots total 1+ 84% 2 ✓
Livan Burcu shots total 1+ 84% 2 ✓
Farès Chaïbi shots total 1+ 83% 2 ✓
Leopold Querfeld tackles 1+ 83% 3 ✓
Tom Alexander Rothe tackles 1+ 83% 2 ✓
Michel Aebischer tackles 1+ 80% 1 ✓
Josip Juranović tackles 1+ 78% 4 ✓
Aljoscha Kemlein tackles 1+ 78% 1 ✓

How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
BTTS Yes 59% Yes ✓
Match goals O2.5 55% 6 goals ✓
Match cards O4.5 24% 6 cards ✓

How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on 1. FC Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt?

14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on 1. FC Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt?

Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.