Borussia Dortmund v VfL Bochum 1848
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Borussia Dortmund beat VfL Bochum 1848 4–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Serhou Guirassy for 1+ shots total (94%, had 6). Its clearest miss: Nico Schlotterbeck for 1+ tackles (83%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhou Guirassy | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 6 | ✓ |
| Philipp Hofmann | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Karim Adeyemi | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Julien Duranville | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamie Gittens | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tim Oermann | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matúš Bero | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 4 | ✓ |
| Anthony Losilla | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
| Moritz Broschinski | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Myron Boadu | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dani De Wit | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Felix Passlack | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 76% | 6 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 69% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 36% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- VfL Bochum 1848 2–0 Borussia Dortmund Feb 2025
- Borussia Dortmund 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 Jan 2024
- VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 Borussia Dortmund Aug 2023
- VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 Borussia Dortmund Apr 2023
- Borussia Dortmund 3–0 VfL Bochum 1848 Nov 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Borussia Dortmund v VfL Bochum 1848?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Borussia Dortmund v VfL Bochum 1848?
The most confident call it got wrong was Nico Schlotterbeck at 83% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.