Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Eintracht Frankfurt drew with SC Freiburg 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Jonathan Burkardt for 1+ shots total (93%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Ansgar Knauff for 1+ shots total (88%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanović | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Younes Ebnoutalib | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Burkardt | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Can Uzun | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ansgar Knauff | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Derry Scherhant | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Philipp Treu | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nnamdi Collins | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Elias Baum | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oscar Højlund | tackles | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Noël Aséko | tackles | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Raphael Onyedika | tackles | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Oscar Højlund | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 59% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 55% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 SC Freiburg Mar 2026
- SC Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt Oct 2025
- SC Freiburg 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt May 2025
- Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 SC Freiburg Jan 2025
- SC Freiburg 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt Feb 2024
- Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 SC Freiburg Sep 2023
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 SC Freiburg May 2023
- SC Freiburg 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt Jan 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ansgar Knauff at 88% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.