VfL Bochum 1848 v TSG Hoffenheim
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before VfL Bochum 1848 lost to TSG Hoffenheim 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Ibrahima Sissoko for 1+ fouls committed (84%, had 6). Its clearest miss: Haris Tabaković for 1+ shots total (84%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haris Tabaković | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 6 | ✓ |
| Giorgos Masouras | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Moerstedt | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrej Kramarić | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Matúš Bero | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Philipp Hofmann | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gift Orban | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gift Orban | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tom Krauß | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tom Bischof | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Max Moerstedt | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tom Bischof | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bernardo | fouls committed | 1+ | 68% | 3 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 67% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 66% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 33% | 1 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 Oct 2024
- VfL Bochum 1848 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim Apr 2024
- TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 Dec 2023
- VfL Bochum 1848 5–2 TSG Hoffenheim Feb 2023
- TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 VfL Bochum 1848 Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on VfL Bochum 1848 v TSG Hoffenheim?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on VfL Bochum 1848 v TSG Hoffenheim?
The most confident call it got wrong was Haris Tabaković at 84% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.