Deniz Aytekin
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games Deniz Aytekin has officiated, the average is 3.50 cards a match — 14% below the league average of 4.09. That splits 3.2 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. The home side sees more cards — 1.5 to 2.0 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 19.4% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 22 awarded in 56 matches, 0.39 a game against a league average of 0.33. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Deniz Aytekin turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Bundesliga season on record.
| Measure | Aytekin | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.84 | 4.09 |
| vs league | 0.94× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| Fouls / match | 21.9 | 22.1 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 22 in 56 | — |
| Red cards shown | 12 | — |
| Matches on record | 56 (13 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Bundesliga games Deniz Aytekin took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bayern München v 1. FC Köln16 May | 5–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV2 May | 1–2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Borussia Dortmund v Bayer 04 Leverkusen11 Apr | 0–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Hamburger SV v FC Augsburg4 Apr | 1–1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| VfB Stuttgart v RB Leipzig15 Mar | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| TSG Hoffenheim v FC St. Pauli28 Feb | 0–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| SC Freiburg v SV Werder Bremen7 Feb | 1–0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
| VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC Union Berlin18 Jan | 1–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Deniz Aytekin give per game?
Deniz Aytekin averages 3.84 cards a game across 56 Bundesliga matches — 6% below the league average of 4.09. On a Deniz Aytekin appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.94.
Is Deniz Aytekin a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Deniz Aytekin runs at 17.6% against a league average of 18.5%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Deniz Aytekin's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Deniz Aytekin's card rate?
It rests on 56 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.