SSC Napoli v Eintracht Frankfurt
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before SSC Napoli drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Ansgar Knauff for 1+ fouls committed (86%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Jonathan Burkardt for 1+ shots total (81%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Knauff | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Burkardt | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Scott McTominay | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nnamdi Collins | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Neres | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Stanislav Lobotka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ansgar Knauff | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Matteo Politano | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Scott McTominay | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 3 | ✓ |
| Rasmus Højlund | fouls drawn | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ansgar Knauff | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 55% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- SSC Napoli 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt Mar 2023
- Eintracht Frankfurt 0–2 SSC Napoli Feb 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on SSC Napoli v Eintracht Frankfurt?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on SSC Napoli v Eintracht Frankfurt?
The most confident call it got wrong was Jonathan Burkardt at 81% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.