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Eredivisie 25/26

FC Twente v Feyenoord

How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Twente2 – 0 Feyenoord 1 Mar 2026
9/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before FC Twente beat Feyenoord 2–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Sam Lammers for 1+ shots total (87%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Ayase Ueda for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Joey Kooij refereed this match 3.37cards a gameleague 3.19 76games
Joey Kooij's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Ayase Ueda shots total 1+ 91% 0 ✗
Casper Tengstedt shots total 1+ 87% 0 ✗
Anis Hadj Moussa shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Kristian Hlynsson shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Sam Lammers shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Raheem Sterling shots total 1+ 77% 0 ✗
Sondre Ørjasæter shots total 1+ 77% 5 ✓
Daan Rots shots total 1+ 77% 6 ✓
Jakub Moder shots total 1+ 72% 1 ✓
Thomas Van den Belt shots total 1+ 72% 1 ✓
Luciano Valente shots total 1+ 65% 0 ✗
Hwang In-beom shots total 1+ 64% 0 ✗
Thijs Kraaijeveld shots total 1+ 64% 1 ✓
Jordan Bos shots total 1+ 64% 2 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on FC Twente v Feyenoord?

9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on FC Twente v Feyenoord?

The most confident call it got wrong was Ayase Ueda at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.