Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Eredivisie 25/26

Feyenoord v FC Twente

How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

Feyenoord1 – 1 FC Twente 21 Dec 2025
10/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Feyenoord drew with FC Twente 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Ayase Ueda for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Aymen Sliti for 1+ shots total (87%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Dennis Higler refereed this match 3.06cards a gameleague 3.19 81games
Dennis Higler's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Ayase Ueda shots total 1+ 94% 2 ✓
Sam Lammers shots total 1+ 87% 6 ✓
Aymen Sliti shots total 1+ 87% 0 ✗
Leo Sauer shots total 1+ 87% 3 ✓
Gonçalo Borges shots total 1+ 87% 1 ✓
Kristian Hlynsson shots total 1+ 77% 3 ✓
Sondre Ørjasæter shots total 1+ 77% 2 ✓
Marko Pjaca shots total 1+ 77% 2 ✓
Daan Rots shots total 1+ 74% 4 ✓
Ayase Ueda shots on target 1+ 73% 0 ✗
Luciano Valente shots total 1+ 72% 0 ✗
Quinten Timber shots total 1+ 72% 0 ✗
Thomas Van den Belt shots total 1+ 72% 3 ✓
Hwang In-beom shots total 1+ 64% 1 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Feyenoord v FC Twente?

10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Feyenoord v FC Twente?

The most confident call it got wrong was Aymen Sliti at 87% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.