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Eredivisie 25/26

Go Ahead Eagles v FC Volendam

How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

Go Ahead Eagles3 – 0 FC Volendam 13 Sep 2025
12/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Go Ahead Eagles beat FC Volendam 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Jakob Breum for 1+ shots total (94%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Aurelio Oehlers for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials+14% cards vs the league average
Serdar Gozubuyuk refereed this match 3.63cards a gameleague 3.19 108games
Serdar Gozubuyuk's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jakob Breum shots total 1+ 94% 5 ✓
Oscar Pettersson shots total 1+ 94% 1 ✓
Henk Veerman shots total 1+ 91% 3 ✓
Ozan Kökçü shots total 1+ 91% 6 ✓
Robert Mühren shots total 1+ 91% 1 ✓
Aurelio Oehlers shots total 1+ 91% 0 ✗
Victor Edvardsen shots total 1+ 91% 2 ✓
Mathis Suray shots total 1+ 87% 5 ✓
Brandley Kuwas shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Joel Ideho shots total 1+ 77% 3 ✓
Alex Plat shots total 1+ 77% 0 ✗
Robin van Cruijsen shots total 1+ 77% 1 ✓
Kenzo Goudmijn shots total 1+ 77% 1 ✓
Melle Meulensteen shots total 1+ 77% 2 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Go Ahead Eagles v FC Volendam?

12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Go Ahead Eagles v FC Volendam?

The most confident call it got wrong was Aurelio Oehlers at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.