NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before NEC Nijmegen lost to Feyenoord 1–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Gaoussou Diarra for 1+ shots total (94%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Shaqueel van Persie for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaoussou Diarra | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nacho Ferri | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kaj Sierhuis | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tjaronn Chery | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Shaqueel van Persie | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gjivai Zechiël | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryan Linssen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Luciano Valente | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Noé Lebreton | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gaoussou Diarra | shots on target | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Givairo Read | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dušan Tadić | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nacho Ferri | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oussama Targhalline | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord Apr 2026
- Feyenoord 2–4 NEC Nijmegen Nov 2025
- Feyenoord 0–0 NEC Nijmegen Mar 2025
- NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord Sep 2024
- NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Feyenoord May 2024
- Feyenoord 2–2 NEC Nijmegen Jan 2024
- Feyenoord 2–0 NEC Nijmegen Jan 2023
- NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord?
The most confident call it got wrong was Shaqueel van Persie at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.