Sparta Rotterdam v SC Heerenveen
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sparta Rotterdam lost to SC Heerenveen 0–4, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Maxence Rivera for 1+ shots total (96%, had 7). Its clearest miss: Milan Zonneveld for 1+ shots on target (82%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxence Rivera | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 7 | ✓ |
| Milan Zonneveld | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Trenskow | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Dylan Vente | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Andrej Kostić | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Casper Terho | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Joel Ideho | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Levi Smans | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Milan Zonneveld | shots on target | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Isaac Babadi | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nolhan Courtens | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Maxence Rivera | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Robin van Cruijsen | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cedric Hatenboer | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- SC Heerenveen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam Feb 2026
- Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 SC Heerenveen Dec 2025
- Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 SC Heerenveen Apr 2025
- SC Heerenveen 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam Oct 2024
- Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 SC Heerenveen May 2024
- SC Heerenveen 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam Aug 2023
- Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 SC Heerenveen Apr 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sparta Rotterdam v SC Heerenveen?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sparta Rotterdam v SC Heerenveen?
The most confident call it got wrong was Milan Zonneveld at 82% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.