What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances
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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Carlens Arcus has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Carlens Arcus featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax19 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ SC Heerenveen12 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ FC Utrecht5 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Fortuna Sittard28 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ PSV Eindhoven13 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| NEC Nijmegen7 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sparta Rotterdam2 Apr | 61 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ AZ Alkmaar30 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Almere City FC16 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| @ RKC Waalwijk9 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Carlens Arcus have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Carlens Arcus has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Carlens Arcus average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Carlens Arcus is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Carlens Arcus get booked?
Carlens Arcus is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Carlens Arcus commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Carlens Arcus commits 1.57 fouls per 90 and wins 0.85 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlens Arcus?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlens Arcus plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.