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Ligue 1 26/27
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Carlens Arcus

Full-back 83% of 30 recent starts AngersLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Angers at Stade Brestois›
Sat 10 OctReferee Eric Wattellier

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 full-back, 25/26, 1,078 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
9.50PPEdge
Total shots0.79 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
2.38PPEdge
Fouls won0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.26 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles1.58 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 103.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Carlens Arcus has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Carlens Arcus in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 44 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Carlens ArcusAngers 260.39 1.45
Lucas HernándezParis Saint-Germain 250.57 1.13
Kelvin AmianNantes 230.46 1.06
Ainsley Maitland-NilesEverton 300.51 1.34
Hamari TraoréParis FC 180.31 1.63
Gideon Mensah1. FC Köln 300.04 1.43
These 5, combined 0.37 1.30

Recent matches

The last 10 games Carlens Arcus featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Troyes19 Sep 77 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Le Havre12 Sep 78 0 1 2 0 0 0
Stade Rennais6 Sep 83 1 2 0 0 3 0
@ Auxerre29 Aug 87 0 0 0 0 2 0
Lille23 Aug 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Stade Brestois17 May 25 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Auxerre3 May 11 0 0 1 0 0 1
Nice14 Mar 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Nantes7 Mar 89 0 1 4 1 1 1
@ AS Monaco28 Feb 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 7 games Carlens Arcus booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Willy Delajod 5 games Carlens Arcus booked in 2 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league
Jeremy Stinat 5 games Carlens Arcus booked in 1 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Clement Turpin 3 games Carlens Arcus booked in 2 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Carlens Arcus have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Carlens Arcus has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Carlens Arcus average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Carlens Arcus is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.79 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Carlens Arcus get booked?

Carlens Arcus is averaging 0.32 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Carlens Arcus commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Carlens Arcus commits 1.26 fouls per 90 and wins 0.16 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlens Arcus?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlens Arcus plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.