Lucas Hernández
In 25/26, Lucas Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 25 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 25), 1+ total shot in 28%, 1+ foul committed in 48%, 1+ foul won in 52%, and been booked in 16% (4 of 25). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Hernández featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ RC Lens13 May | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Brestois10 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Lorient2 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Angers25 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nantes22 Apr | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Toulouse3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Metz21 Feb | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Hernández have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Lucas Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 25 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 25). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lucas Hernández average?
Across 25 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Lucas Hernández is averaging 0.15 shots on target and 0.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Hernández get booked?
Lucas Hernández is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Hernández commit or win more fouls?
This season Lucas Hernández commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Hernández?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lucas Hernández plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.