Lucas Hernández
Full-back 83% of 30 recent starts Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 26/27
Also in: Bundesliga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 full-back, 25/26, 1,078 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Hernández in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 44 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas HernándezParis Saint-Germain | 25 | 0.57 | 1.13 |
| Ben ChilwellCrystal Palace | 20 | 0.28 | 0.79 |
| Kelvin AmianNantes | 23 | 0.46 | 1.06 |
| Carlens ArcusAngers | 26 | 0.39 | 1.45 |
| Nicolas CozzaNantes | 29 | 0.47 | 0.90 |
| Caio HenriqueAS Monaco | 22 | 0.12 | 0.76 |
| These 5, combined | 0.36 | 1.01 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Hernández featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco4 Sep | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Stade Rennais23 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Lens13 May | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Brestois10 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Lorient2 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Angers25 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nantes22 Apr | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Toulouse3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Hernández have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Hernández average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Hernández is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.51 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Hernández get booked?
Lucas Hernández is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Hernández commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Hernández commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 0.51 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Hernández?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Hernández plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.