Lucas Hernández
Centre-back 50% of 6 recent starts Paris Saint-GermainBundesliga 22/23
Also in: Ligue 1
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 7 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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Over the last 7 Bundesliga games, Lucas Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 7), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 43%, 1+ foul won in 57%, and been booked in 14% (1 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Lucas Hernández has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas HernándezParis Saint-GermainLigue 1 | 25 | 0.57 | 1.13 |
| Marnon Busch1. FC Heidenheim | 29 | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| Josip StanišićFC Bayern München | 26 | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| Christian GünterSC Freiburg | 24 | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| Yukinari SugawaraCagliari | 31 | 1.11 | 0.81 |
| David RaumRB Leipzig | 30 | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| These 5, combined | 0.71 | 0.76 |
Recent matches
The last 7 games Lucas Hernández featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ FC Schalke 0412 Nov | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen8 Nov | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hertha BSC5 Nov | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach27 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfL Bochum 184821 Aug | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg14 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt5 Aug | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Hernández have a shot on target?
Over the last 7 Bundesliga games, Lucas Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Hernández average?
Across the last 7 Bundesliga games, Lucas Hernández is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Hernández get booked?
Lucas Hernández is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Hernández commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 7 games Lucas Hernández commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Hernández?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Hernández plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.