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Eredivisie 26/27
DA

David van der Werff

Forward FC GroningenEredivisie 26/27

Next match
FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 45 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.92 per 90
60%
6 of 101.5×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots2.30 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls won1.04 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.58 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles1.38 per 90
70%
7 of 101.7×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, David van der Werff has hit 1+ shot on target in 62% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (5 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 25% (2 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games David van der Werff featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Excelsior11 Oct 85 0 0 2 0 1 1
PEC Zwolle18 Sep 85 1 3 0 2 1 0
@ Go Ahead Eagles12 Sep 64 1 1 1 0 4 0
FC Twente6 Sep 90 0 4 0 0 1 0
Fortuna Sittard28 Aug 82 1 2 0 0 2 0
@ PSV Eindhoven23 Aug 67 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ ADO Den Haag16 Aug 90 3 4 1 1 0 1
FC Utrecht9 Aug 90 0 2 0 2 2 0
@ AFC Ajax21 May 67 0 1 1 2 0 0
@ Heracles Almelo17 May 61 1 1 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Danny Makkelie 5 games David van der Werff booked in 1 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Alex Bos 4 games David van der Werff never booked 3.02cards/game 0.95×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 4 games David van der Werff never booked 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Richard Martens 3 games David van der Werff booked in 1 3.00cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does David van der Werff have a shot on target?

In 26/27, David van der Werff has hit 1+ shot on target in 62% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (5 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does David van der Werff average?

Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, David van der Werff is averaging 0.96 shots on target and 2.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does David van der Werff get booked?

David van der Werff is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does David van der Werff commit or win more fouls?

This season David van der Werff commits 0.55 fouls per 90 and wins 0.83 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for David van der Werff?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. David van der Werff plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.