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SharpXI©
Eredivisie 26/27
GU

Guus Til

Midfielder PSV EindhovenEredivisie 26/27

Next match
PSV Eindhoven at ADO Den Haag›
Sat 17 OctReferee Van den Kerkhof, Martin
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie midfielder, 25/26, 2,886 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.09 per 90
60%
6 of 102.3×
1.08bet365Edge
Total shots2.51 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
1.03bet365Edge
Fouls won0.98 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Fouls committed0.98 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Tackles0.44 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.65 per 90
40%
4 of 104.3×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Guus Til has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Guus Til in Eredivisie, 26/27 — drawn from 11 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Guus TilPSV Eindhoven 82.29 0.94
Luciano ValenteFeyenoord 82.21 0.91
Gjivai ZechiëlFeyenoord 82.67 0.93
Calvin TwigtGo Ahead Eagles 80.81 0.97
Mauro JúniorPSV Eindhoven 80.93 0.53
Melle MeulensteenGo Ahead Eagles 71.50 0.60
These 5, combined 1.66 0.79

Recent matches

The last 10 games Guus Til featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
SC Heerenveen9 Oct 90 1 2 1 0 1 0
@ FC Twente20 Sep 90 2 2 2 1 1 0
Sparta Rotterdam13 Sep 60 0 3 1 1 0 0
@ AFC Ajax5 Sep 90 0 1 1 1 2 0
@ FC Utrecht30 Aug 90 2 3 0 0 0 0
FC Groningen23 Aug 90 3 4 1 3 0 0
@ Excelsior15 Aug 90 0 0 0 1 0 0
Fortuna Sittard8 Aug 68 0 2 1 0 0 0
FC Twente17 May 71 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Go Ahead Eagles10 May 86 1 5 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Danny Makkelie 20 games Guus Til booked in 4 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 19 games Guus Til never booked 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Allard Lindhout 14 games Guus Til booked in 1 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league
Dennis Higler 10 games Guus Til never booked 3.06cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Guus Til have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Guus Til has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Guus Til average?

Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, Guus Til is averaging 1.08 shots on target and 2.29 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Guus Til get booked?

Guus Til is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Guus Til commit or win more fouls?

This season Guus Til commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 0.94 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Guus Til?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Guus Til plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.