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Eredivisie 24/25
IG

Igor Paixão

Forward Olympique de MarseilleEredivisie 24/25

Also in: Ligue 1

Next match
Olympique de Marseille at SC Telstar›
Sat 17 OctReferee Manschot, Jeroen
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.73 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.0×
Total shots3.67 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
Fouls won1.73 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.51 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles1.53 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals1.02 per 90
60%
6 of 103.7×
form only
Assists0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Igor Paixão has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

Igor Paixão has no Eredivisie record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Eredivisie wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Igor PaixãoOlympique de MarseilleUEFA Champions League 82.87 0.57
Ivan PerišićPSV Eindhoven 82.64 0.53
Mathis SurayGo Ahead Eagles 81.93 0.90
Anis Hadj MoussaFeyenoord 73.21 0.58
Yoann CathlineFC Utrecht 82.40 1.48
Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven 82.71 2.20
These 5, combined 2.56 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Igor Paixão featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Heerenveen18 May 90 1 3 1 4 2 0
RKC Waalwijk14 May 90 1 3 1 0 0 0
PSV Eindhoven11 May 81 2 3 0 6 0 0
@ Heracles Almelo3 May 90 0 3 2 0 1 0
PEC Zwolle25 Apr 90 2 3 0 0 2 0
@ Fortuna Sittard12 Apr 90 1 1 1 2 1 0
@ AZ Alkmaar5 Apr 90 0 5 0 2 2 0
FC Groningen2 Apr 83 2 5 0 0 2 0
Go Ahead Eagles30 Mar 89 3 5 0 1 2 0
@ FC Twente16 Mar 90 5 5 0 2 3 0
Officials on record
Danny Makkelie 13 games Igor Paixão never booked 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 11 games Igor Paixão booked in 1 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Dennis Higler 9 games Igor Paixão booked in 1 3.06cards/game 0.96×vs league
Allard Lindhout 8 games Igor Paixão never booked 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Igor Paixão have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Igor Paixão has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Igor Paixão average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Igor Paixão is averaging 1.73 shots on target and 3.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Igor Paixão get booked?

Igor Paixão is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Igor Paixão commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Igor Paixão commits 0.51 fouls per 90 and wins 1.73 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Igor Paixão?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Igor Paixão plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.