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Eredivisie 25/26
KE

Kento Shiogai

Forward NEC NijmegenEredivisie 25/26

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 38 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.68 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Total shots3.35 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won2.52 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed2.52 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Tackles0.56 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals1.40 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Kento Shiogai has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Kento Shiogai featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
AFC Ajax20 Dec 16 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ SC Telstar13 Dec 31 1 2 1 0 0 0
@ FC Volendam7 Dec 24 1 2 1 3 1 0
Sparta Rotterdam29 Nov 20 0 1 1 2 0 1
@ Feyenoord23 Nov 22 2 2 3 1 0 0
FC Groningen9 Nov 45 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ FC Utrecht2 Nov 30 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ SC Heerenveen21 Sep 77 0 0 0 0 0 0
PSV Eindhoven13 Sep 25 1 2 1 1 1 0
@ Fortuna Sittard31 Aug 32 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Erwin Blank 4 games Kento Shiogai never booked 3.31cards/game 1.04×vs league
Van den Kerkhof, Martin 4 games Kento Shiogai never booked 2.56cards/game 0.80×vs league
Danny Makkelie 3 games Kento Shiogai never booked 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 3 games Kento Shiogai never booked 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Kento Shiogai have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Kento Shiogai has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Kento Shiogai average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Kento Shiogai is averaging 1.68 shots on target and 3.35 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Kento Shiogai get booked?

Kento Shiogai is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Kento Shiogai commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Kento Shiogai commits 2.52 fouls per 90 and wins 2.52 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kento Shiogai?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kento Shiogai plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.