Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Eredivisie 23/24
MA

Magnus Mattsson

Midfielder NEC NijmegenEredivisie 23/24

Next match
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 42 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie midfielder, 25/26, 2,886 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.40 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 103.4×
Total shots2.50 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.9×
Fouls won1.30 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Fouls committed0.40 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles2.20 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
Goals0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 105.3×
form only
Assists0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Magnus Mattsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Magnus Mattsson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Go Ahead Eagles28 Jan 90 1 4 0 1 3 0
FC Twente20 Jan 90 3 4 0 1 2 0
@ Feyenoord14 Jan 90 1 1 2 0 2 0
Fortuna Sittard15 Dec 90 2 2 1 1 1 0
@ PEC Zwolle9 Dec 90 2 2 0 3 3 0
@ AZ Alkmaar6 Dec 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
AFC Ajax3 Dec 90 0 2 0 2 2 0
Go Ahead Eagles26 Nov 90 1 3 1 2 2 0
@ FC Twente11 Nov 90 2 5 0 1 6 0
FC Volendam5 Nov 90 1 1 0 2 0 1
Officials on record
Sander van der Eijk 5 games Magnus Mattsson never booked 3.58cards/game 1.12×vs league
Danny Makkelie 4 games Magnus Mattsson never booked 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 3 games Magnus Mattsson booked in 1 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Dennis Higler 3 games Magnus Mattsson never booked 3.06cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Magnus Mattsson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Magnus Mattsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Magnus Mattsson average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Magnus Mattsson is averaging 1.40 shots on target and 2.50 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Magnus Mattsson get booked?

Magnus Mattsson is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Magnus Mattsson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Magnus Mattsson commits 0.40 fouls per 90 and wins 1.30 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Magnus Mattsson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Magnus Mattsson plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.