What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances
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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Milan Smit has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 50% (5 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Milan Smit featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ AFC Ajax17 Jan | 90 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Fortuna Sittard11 Jan | 81 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Groningen21 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Twente14 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ AZ Alkmaar7 Dec | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Utrecht30 Nov | 90 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Heracles Almelo22 Nov | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Feyenoord9 Nov | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ NAC Breda1 Nov | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Excelsior26 Oct | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Milan Smit have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Milan Smit has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Milan Smit average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Milan Smit is averaging 0.81 shots on target and 1.93 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Milan Smit get booked?
Milan Smit is averaging 0.51 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Milan Smit commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Milan Smit commits 1.53 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Milan Smit?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Milan Smit plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.