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Eredivisie 26/27
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Noah Naujoks

Midfielder ExcelsiorEredivisie 26/27

Next match
Excelsior at SC Heerenveen›
Fri 16 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie midfielder, 25/26, 2,886 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.16 per 90
60%
6 of 102.3×
1.50bet365Edge
Total shots2.84 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
1.03bet365Edge
Fouls won0.95 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Fouls committed1.68 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.0×
Tackles2.42 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.53 per 90
40%
4 of 104.3×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Noah Naujoks has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Noah Naujoks featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Cambuur7 Aug 90 2 5 3 0 3 0
@ Sparta Rotterdam17 May 86 1 2 1 0 1 0
FC Volendam10 May 69 0 1 1 1 3 0
@ FC Groningen2 May 77 1 4 1 0 0 0
FC Utrecht26 Apr 85 2 5 1 2 3 0
@ PEC Zwolle12 Apr 90 0 3 1 1 1 0
NEC Nijmegen4 Apr 90 0 0 2 2 3 0
@ Heracles Almelo20 Mar 89 2 2 3 0 3 0
@ Feyenoord15 Mar 90 0 2 1 2 5 0
SC Heerenveen7 Mar 90 3 3 2 1 1 1
Officials on record
Dennis Higler 6 games Noah Naujoks never booked 3.06cards/game 0.96×vs league
Marc Nagtegaal 6 games Noah Naujoks never booked 2.63cards/game 0.82×vs league
Sander van der Eijk 6 games Noah Naujoks never booked 3.58cards/game 1.12×vs league
Danny Makkelie 4 games Noah Naujoks booked in 1 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Noah Naujoks have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Noah Naujoks has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Noah Naujoks average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Noah Naujoks is averaging 1.16 shots on target and 2.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Noah Naujoks get booked?

Noah Naujoks is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Noah Naujoks commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Noah Naujoks commits 1.68 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Noah Naujoks?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Noah Naujoks plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.