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UEFA Europa League 24/25

Bodø/Glimt v Tottenham

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

Bodø/Glimt0 – 2 Tottenham 8 May 2025
9/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Bodø/Glimt lost to Tottenham 0–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Dominic Solanke for 1+ shots total (97%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Mathys Tel for 1+ shots total (97%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Maurizio Mariani refereed this match

5 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Richarlison shots total 1+ 97% 1 ✓
Mathys Tel shots total 1+ 97% 0 ✗
Dominic Solanke shots total 1+ 97% 1 ✓
Destiny Udogie tackles 1+ 97% 5 ✓
Yves Bissouma tackles 1+ 95% 1 ✓
Pedro Porro tackles 1+ 91% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg tackles 1+ 89% 3 ✓
Brennan Johnson shots total 1+ 89% 0 ✗
Dejan Kulusevski shots total 1+ 88% 0 ✗
Jens Petter Hauge shots total 1+ 87% 0 ✗
Pape Matar Sarr shots total 1+ 87% 0 ✗
Rodrigo Bentancur tackles 1+ 85% 4 ✓
Cristian Romero tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Dejan Kulusevski tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Bodø/Glimt v Tottenham?

9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Bodø/Glimt v Tottenham?

The most confident call it got wrong was Mathys Tel at 97% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.