La Liga · 23/24
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Almería v Deportivo Alavés
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Almería0 – 3
Deportivo Alavés
26 Jan 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samu Aghehowa | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 4 | ✓ |
| Léo Baptistão | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sergio Arribas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Benavídez | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marko Milovanović | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Sergio Arribas | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Adrián Embarba | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Luis Rioja | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marko Milovanović | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dion Lopy | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Adrián Embarba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Léo Baptistão | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Vicente | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 54% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 49% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 46% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Almería & Deportivo Alavés player stats→
Almería players & stats→
Deportivo Alavés players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Almería Nov 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.