La Liga · 22/23

Almería v Elche

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Almería2 – 1 Elche 2 May 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	98%	3	✓
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	94%	0	✗
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Luis Javier Suárez	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Ezequiel Ponce	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Tete Morente	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Pere Milla	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Raúl Guti	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Adrián Embarba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Randy Nteka	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Alex Collado	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Gerard Gumbau	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓
Randy Nteka	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	68%	4 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	63%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	61%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Almería & Elche player stats→ Almería players & stats→ Elche players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Elche 1–1 Almería Aug 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works