La Liga · 22/23
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Elche v Almería
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Elche1 – 1
Almería
22 Aug 2022
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Martí | shots on target | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Ponce | shots on target | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Ponce | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Roger Martí | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Largie Ramazani | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Umar Sadiq | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gerard Gumbau | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Johan Mojica | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Omar Mascarell | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tete Morente | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Largie Ramazani | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Umar Sadiq | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Íñigo Eguaras | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 52% | 6 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 10% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 4% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Elche & Almería player stats→
Elche players & stats→
Almería players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Almería 2–1 Elche May 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.