La Liga · 22/23

Almería v Espanyol

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Almería3 – 1 Espanyol 27 Jan 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Joselu	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Martin Braithwaite	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
El Bilal Touré	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Javi Puado	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Luis Javier Suárez	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Joselu	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Sergi Darder	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Luis Javier Suárez	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
El Bilal Touré	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Adrián Embarba	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Nicolás Melamed	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	58%	6 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	55%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	51%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Almería & Espanyol player stats→ Almería players & stats→ Espanyol players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Espanyol 3–3 Almería Jun 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works