La Liga · 22/23

Espanyol v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Espanyol3 – 3 Almería 4 Jun 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lázaro	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
El Bilal Touré	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Nicolás Melamed	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Javi Puado	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Martin Braithwaite	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Edu Expósito	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Edu Expósito	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Adrián Embarba	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Nicolás Melamed	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Keidi Bare	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	67%	6 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	64%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	64%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Espanyol & Almería player stats→ Espanyol players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Almería 3–1 Espanyol Jan 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works