La Liga · 23/24

Almería v Granada

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Almería3 – 3 Granada 1 Oct 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Luis Javier Suárez	shots total	1+	92%	8	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	92%	6	✓
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Iddrisu Baba	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Luis Javier Suárez	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Largie Ramazani	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls committed	1+	86%	3	✓
Adrián Embarba	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Largie Ramazani	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	70%	6 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	63%	3 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	63%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Almería & Granada player stats→ Almería players & stats→ Granada players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Granada 1–1 Almería Feb 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works