La Liga · 23/24

Granada v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Granada1 – 1 Almería 18 Feb 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Choco Lozano	fouls committed	1+	100%	3	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Choco Lozano	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Sergio Arribas	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Myrto Uzuni	shots total	1+	91%	5	✓
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Choco Lozano	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Sergio Ruiz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Óscar Melendo	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Jonathan Viera	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Iddrisu Baba	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	60%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	59%	5 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	57%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Granada & Almería player stats→ Granada players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Almería 3–3 Granada Oct 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works