La Liga · 23/24

Almería v Las Palmas

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Almería1 – 2 Las Palmas 28 Oct 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lázaro	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Munir El Haddadi	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Sory Kaba	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Marc Cardona	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Largie Ramazani	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Iddrisu Baba	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Sergio Arribas	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Máximo Perrone	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Munir El Haddadi	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	57%	4 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	50%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	45%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Almería & Las Palmas player stats→ Almería players & stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Las Palmas 0–1 Almería Mar 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works