La Liga · 23/24
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Almería v Mallorca
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Almería0 – 0
Mallorca
17 Dec 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 6 | ✓ |
| Sergio Arribas | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adrián Embarba | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Largie Ramazani | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Léo Baptistão | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Iddrisu Baba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dion Lopy | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adrián Embarba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Léo Baptistão | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gonzalo Melero | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Samú Costa | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sergio Arribas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Samú Costa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 47% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 4 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Almería & Mallorca player stats→
Almería players & stats→
Mallorca players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Mallorca 2–2 Almería May 2024
- Almería 3–0 Mallorca May 2023
- Mallorca 1–0 Almería Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.