La Liga · 23/24

Athletic Club v Cádiz

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Athletic Club3 – 0 Cádiz 16 Sep 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Asier Villalibre	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Gorka Guruzeta	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Oihan Sancet	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Álex Berenguer	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Chris Ramos	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Iñaki Williams	shots total	1+	91%	6	✓
Darwin Machís	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Darwin Machís	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Iker Muniain	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Iván Alejo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Rubén Alcaraz	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Rubén Sobrino	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Roger Martí	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	75%	5 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	49%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	46%	No	✗

Dig deeper

Athletic Club & Cádiz player stats→ Athletic Club players & stats→ Cádiz players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works