La Liga · 23/24

Atlético Madrid v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Atlético Madrid2 – 1 Almería 10 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Memphis Depay	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Álvaro Morata	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Ángel Correa	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Antoine Griezmann	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Samuel Lino	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Samuel Lino	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Memphis Depay	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Saúl Ñíguez	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	80%	6	✓
Sergio Arribas	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓
Saúl Ñíguez	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Rodrigo De Paul	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	67%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	56%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Atlético Madrid & Almería player stats→ Atlético Madrid players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works