La Liga · 23/24

Celta Vigo v Granada

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Celta Vigo1 – 0 Granada 16 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jørgen Strand Larsen	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Iago Aspas	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Franco Cervi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Jonathan Bamba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	4	✓
Jørgen Strand Larsen	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Carlos Dotor	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	83%	4	✓
Renato Tapia	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Myrto Uzuni	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Jonathan Bamba	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	62%	9 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	57%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	55%	No	✗

Dig deeper

Celta Vigo & Granada player stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Granada players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Granada 1–2 Celta Vigo May 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works